Yen exchange rate, interest rate, and inflation rate

1.上網找任何一下銀行的兌日圓報價,說明這些報價的意義,以交易會發生的任何費用是多少,並舉例,(1)記得要連結該網頁,(2)呈現該銀行的資訊網頁截圖,(3)引用資料來源

Cathay bank

Reference:Cathay Bank

現金匯率:兌換外幣現金的價格,現鈔買入價及賣出價通常較即期匯率前者低,後者高。
即期匯率:兌換外幣的價格,如外幣存款、旅支等。
買入價bid:銀行以新臺幣買外幣的價格。以國泰世華銀行即期匯率為例,銀行用0.2721元新臺幣跟你買1日幣,日幣換新臺幣時看「買入」。
賣出價ask:銀行以新臺幣賣外幣的價格。銀行用0.2761元新臺幣賣1日幣給你,新臺幣換日幣時看「賣出」。

2.請選擇一個國家的金融市場,說明該市場相關的匯率、匯率變化、利率、利率變化、通貨膨脹率與其變化走勢。頁面呈現同1所示。

1.Exchange rate:JPY/TWD=0.2762 TWD/JPY=3.6475

Reference: Cathay

1.2 Variations of exchange rate

Followings are the charts of exchange rate with different length of time.

The range within a year is in between 3.5568 to 3.8421, the interest rate today is 3.6475 which is just little higher than the lowest point 3.8421.Japanese Yen has been appreciating  since January 2018. If you want to go to Kyoto to enjoy the beauty of cherry blossom, it’s better to exchange for Yen before January  this year or would be more “expensive “.

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2.interest rate & variations

The followings are the chart and the table of Japan yields. The interest rates are included in the calculation of yields. The formula is:

Yield curve indicates how much return you get from lending money. From the chart, we could see it as two parts separated by the 7.5y time break. Before 7.5y the 1 month curve gets lowest yields than the other two which indicates lending money lately profits more than 1 month ago. Vice versa if you are lending for more than 7.5years. Also, from the table we could see that within 5 years the yields are negative. As we know the higher the yields are the cheaper the bonds would be vice versa. But what if the yields are negative? Negative  yields implies negative interest rate:

In order to have a negative annual percentage yield, r/n should be negative and because n as the number of times is positive therefore r interest rate should be negative.

So why would anyone buy bonds whose interest rate is negative?

Well, the lenders in financial markets are usually banks, and if the lenders lose money the borrowers earn the spread. Japanese government hopes to boost the economy by setting negative interest rate as an incentive for investors to borrow money. These monetary policies are called quantitative easing.

Theoretically, quantitative easing should help stimulate bank loans and customer consumption. Nonetheless, enterprises show little interest in borrowing money since there aren’t many investing opportunities. The result of monetary policy seems to do little on Japan’s economy, the structural changes perhaps will be more useful.

3. Inflation rate and variations

The formula of inflation rate:

The rate of inflation formula measures the percentage change in purchasing power of a particular currency. As the cost of prices increase, the purchasing power of the currency decreases.

The rate of inflation formula shown uses the Consumer Price Index which is released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the US. However, other similar indices may be used at times.

Japan’s inflation rate averaged 3.02 percent from 1958 until 2018, reaching an all time high of 24.9 percent in 1974 and record low of -2.5 percent in 2009. Recently the inflation rate has risen by 1.4% the highest since 2016 though the number is still lower than the goal of Bank of Japan’s 2%.

The price of power source surged contributed mostly to the raise of CPI because the raise of the oil price lead to the the raise of electricity and gasoline price. During the same time, the price battles between communication service dealers gave the opposite on the index.

references: trading economics Bloomberg Finance formulas 

Financial times

 

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